Novorizontino 0-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.21
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.46
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
23.3 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Operario PR
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.40 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 0-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
07.11.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 0-3 HT 0-2 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
21.07.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 2-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
0-1
AWAY Operario PR
1.26 xG 0.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 293
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 2
40 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR squeezed past Novorizontino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Novorizontino had 51% of the ball to Operario PR's 49%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.26 to 0.31 — on chances, Novorizontino could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Novorizontino and 0.33 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Operario PR?

Novorizontino 0-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 50%, draw 28%, Operario PR 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novorizontino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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