Operario PR 0-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
13%
7.47
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.8pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.02/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.13
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.8 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Novorizontino
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.16 xG 1.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 0-3 HT 0-2 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
21.07.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 2-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
0-0
AWAY Novorizontino
0.34 xG 0.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
432 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 4
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR and Novorizontino played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 64% of the ball to Novorizontino's 36%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.34 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Novorizontino led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Operario PR and 2.50 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Novorizontino?

Operario PR 0-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 33%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novorizontino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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