Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponte Preta v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
Ponte Preta 2-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Ponte Preta got the better of Vila Nova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ponte Preta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ponte Preta had 46% of the ball to Vila Nova's 54%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.54 to 1.41 — on chances, Vila Nova could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ponte Preta and 0.67 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?
Ponte Preta 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 40%, draw 30%, Vila Nova 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponte Preta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.