Chapecoense 1-1 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.8
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 40%
-30% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.96/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.84
-48% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.3 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sport Recife
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
309 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
28.06.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
24.08.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
14.05.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
07.12.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
28.08.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
1-1
AWAY Sport Recife
1.25 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
373 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense and Sport Recife shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Chapecoense had 57% of the ball to Sport Recife's 43%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chapecoense and 1.00 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Sport Recife?

Chapecoense 1-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 34%, draw 31%, Sport Recife 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Recife), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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