Odense 3-2 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
19%
4.65
X/2
9%
7.32
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
13%
5.06
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
Crosses 19.7
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY AC Horsens
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
381 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-2 HT 1-1 Odense Odense DAN1
26.05.2023 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
28.04.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-2 HT 1-1 Odense Odense DAN
13.11.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-3 HT 2-2 Odense Odense DAN
22.08.2022 Odense Odense 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
24.05.2021 Odense Odense 4-0 HT 2-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
3-2
AWAY AC Horsens
1.42 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
355 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Odense vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense edged past AC Horsens 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Odense had 53% of the ball to AC Horsens's 47%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.42 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Odense and 1.33 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Odense vs AC Horsens?

Odense 3-2 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Odense 44%, draw 26%, AC Horsens 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5
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