AC Horsens 2-2 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.88
1/2
10%
21.85
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
9%
8.27
X/2
13%
4.3
X/X
11%
5.44
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.38
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.93/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.98
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
13.1 Crosses 32.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Odense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.70 xG 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 396
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2023 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
28.04.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-2 HT 1-1 Odense Odense DAN
13.11.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-3 HT 2-2 Odense Odense DAN
22.08.2022 Odense Odense 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
24.05.2021 Odense Odense 4-0 HT 2-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
21.02.2021 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
2-2
AWAY Odense
2.30 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
356 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens and Odense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Odense at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AC Horsens had 54% of the ball to Odense's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.30 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AC Horsens and 2.00 for Odense.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Odense?

AC Horsens 2-2 Odense in the Denmark 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 27%, draw 24%, Odense 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Odense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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