Vendsyssel FF 0-3 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 25% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.17
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.46
X/2
13%
5.05
X/X
9%
5.51
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
16%
2.97
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 6.46 — our 18% vs market 11.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
33%
+8.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-15.5pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.48/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.15
+5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
22.7 Crosses 21.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hillerod
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.85 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 Passes 319
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 4-4 HT 1-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
19.08.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
08.10.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
22.07.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 5-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
0-3
AWAY Hillerod
0.37 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
286 Passes 275
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod ran out comfortable winners over Vendsyssel FF 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Hillerod made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 50% of the ball to Hillerod's 50%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.37 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 2.25 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Hillerod?

Vendsyssel FF 0-3 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 42%, draw 22%, Hillerod 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vendsyssel FF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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