Vendsyssel FF 4-4 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.37
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.05
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.11
X/X
13%
4.19
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · X/2 at 6.11 — our 19% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.26/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.92
-8% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
21.7 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hillerod
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.93 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
08.10.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
22.07.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 5-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
4-4
AWAY Hillerod
1.61 xG 0.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
244 Passes 327
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vendsyssel FF and Hillerod couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 46% of the ball to Hillerod's 54%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.61 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 1.67 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Hillerod?

Vendsyssel FF 4-4 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 34%, draw 27%, Hillerod 39%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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