FC Helsingor 0-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.82
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.63
X/2
10%
6.74
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.74
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.15/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.38
-8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
15.8 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Helsingor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HB Koge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.18 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
398 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
17.02.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-4 HT 1-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.08.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 2-4 HT 1-2 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
26.11.2021 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.08.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
18.08.2021 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Helsingor
0-1
AWAY HB Koge
2.17 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
447 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Helsingor vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge nicked a narrow win over FC Helsingor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Helsingor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Helsingor had 57% of the ball to HB Koge's 43%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.17 to 1.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Helsingor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Helsingor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Helsingor and 1.50 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of FC Helsingor vs HB Koge?

FC Helsingor 0-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Helsingor vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Helsingor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Helsingor 43%, draw 26%, HB Koge 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Helsingor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Helsingor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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