Kolding IF 1-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Kolding IF
1-1 HT 1-0
HB Koge
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kolding IF vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.77
2-3 Goals
41%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.48
6+ Goals
12%
5.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
31.0
X/1
22%
3.52
X/2 EV+ ✗
8%
32.5
X/X
8%
11.1
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
7%
24.0
2/X
5%
29.5
Value flag · X/2 at 32.5 — our 8% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
80%
-21.8pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.6pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+14.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolding IF v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 9%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.14/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.98
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
478 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
27.0 Crosses 8.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kolding IF vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
2W-1D-3L
AWAY HB Koge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.94 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
212 Passes 396
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
14.09.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
13.03.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
19.09.2020 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-4 HT 2-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
23.06.2020 HB Koge HB Koge 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
10.11.2019 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-2 HT 0-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

Kolding IF 1-1 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
1-1
AWAY HB Koge
1.05 xG 0.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
344 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF and HB Koge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Kolding IF carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kolding IF had 45% of the ball to HB Koge's 55%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.05 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HB Koge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kolding IF and 1.50 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs HB Koge?

Kolding IF 1-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 58%, draw 22%, HB Koge 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kolding IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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