Middelfart 3-2 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

Middelfart
3-2
Thisted
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Middelfart vs Thisted Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Thisted — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.72/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.10
-23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Middelfart vs Thisted Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Thisted
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 3-0 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
12.08.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
27.03.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
04.09.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 0-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
20.03.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 3-0 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
01.11.2020 Thisted Thisted 2-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart squeezed past Thisted 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Middelfart and 0.67 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Thisted?

Middelfart 3-2 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 53%, draw 25%, Thisted 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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