Middelfart 3-0 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 31% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.94/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.08
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Thisted
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.08.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
27.03.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
04.09.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 0-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
20.03.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 3-0 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
01.11.2020 Thisted Thisted 2-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
08.03.2020 Thisted Thisted 3-1 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
3-0
AWAY Thisted
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart cruised past Thisted 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Middelfart had 61% of the ball to Thisted's 39%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middelfart and 1.17 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Thisted?

Middelfart 3-0 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 55%, draw 22%, Thisted 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
1 Apr 2024
14:00 Skive IK vs Hellerup IK Analysis →
15:00 Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad Analysis →
15:00 Brabrand vs Esbjerg Analysis →
16:00 Nykobing vs FA 2000 Analysis →
20:00 Fremad Amager vs Akademisk BK Analysis →