Brabrand 1-2 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
58%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-16.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brabrand EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 78%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.62/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.02
-43% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
202 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brabrand
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Esbjerg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
42% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
24.09.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-0 HT 1-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
13.11.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 5-1 HT 2-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
06.08.2022 Brabrand Brabrand 1-3 HT 1-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
POST-MATCH Brabrand vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg nicked a narrow win over Brabrand 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Esbjerg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brabrand and 3.67 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Brabrand vs Esbjerg?

Brabrand 1-2 Esbjerg in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brabrand vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Brabrand 21%, draw 21%, Esbjerg 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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