09/11/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
VSK Arhus vs Sundby Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
21%
Draw
24%
33%
Away Win
30%
49%
Under 2.5
46%
51%
Over 2.5
54%
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
52%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VSK Arhus v Sundby — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
VSK Arhus
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sundby
EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+20%
1.84/1.07
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/0.67
+3%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-18%
/
+133%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
339 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
275 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.4
VSK Arhus vs Sundby Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
VSK Arhus
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Sundby
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
VSK Arhus vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
VSK Arhus nicked a narrow win over Sundby 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Sundby?
VSK Arhus 2-1 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Sundby?
Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 46%, draw 21%, Sundby 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
DAN3
More Denmark - 3rd Division
9 Nov 2024