Naesby 1-1 Lyseng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2024

Naesby
1-1
Lyseng
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Naesby vs Lyseng Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naesby v Lyseng — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyseng EU Bookmakers 19%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
2.09/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.54
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -30%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Naesby vs Lyseng Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lyseng
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
04.11.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
16.09.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-2 HT 2-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
10.04.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
20.08.2022 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
11.06.2022 Lyseng Lyseng 0-2 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3

Naesby 1-1 Lyseng — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
1-1
AWAY Lyseng
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby and Lyseng couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Naesby carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Naesby had 68% of the ball to Lyseng's 32%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Naesby and 1.00 for Lyseng.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Lyseng?

Naesby 1-1 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Lyseng?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Naesby 61%, draw 19%, Lyseng 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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