Saint-Étienne (K) 3-2 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.84/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.10
-43% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +58%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
10.9 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.18 xG 0.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
177 Passes 340
62% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.01.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
3-2
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
1.47 xG 1.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
164 Passes 281
61% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) squeezed past Fleury 91 (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fleury 91 (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 41% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 59%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.47 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 3-2 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleury 91 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 33%, draw 19%, Fleury 91 (K) 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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