East Bengal 0-0 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.1
Over
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No Pick
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.05
2-3
49%
1.84
4-5
18%
3.09
6+
8%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.05 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 27%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.81/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/1.78
-32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
28.1 Crosses 9.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
0-0
AWAY Mohammedan
0.36 xG 1.19
25% Ball Possession 75%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
68 Passes 261
52% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 49
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal and Mohammedan played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was East Bengal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, East Bengal had 25% of the ball to Mohammedan's 75%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.36 to 1.19.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Mohammedan?

East Bengal 0-0 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 46%, draw 26%, Mohammedan 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (East Bengal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Bengal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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