Chennaiyin FC 1-1 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.0
Over
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.75
2-3
39%
1.82
4-5
21%
3.25
6+
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.75 — our 30% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.26
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.3 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Mumbai City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.73 xG 1.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
214 Passes 359
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
21.01.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 2-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HINSK
19.04.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HINSK
24.12.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
12.11.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-6 HT 2-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
06.02.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1-1
AWAY Mumbai City
1.09 xG 0.90
28% Ball Possession 72%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
141 Passes 471
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC and Mumbai City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 28% of the ball to Mumbai City's 72%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.09 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 2.17 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Mumbai City?

Chennaiyin FC 1-1 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 39%, draw 24%, Mumbai City 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HİNSL More India - Super League
9 Nov 2024
17:00 East Bengal vs Mohammedan Analysis →