Grulla Morioka 1-6 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 69%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.81/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.00
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
200 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 31.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
20.03.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
08.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-4 HT 0-2 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
24.06.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
1-6
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
497 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga ran out comfortable winners over Grulla Morioka 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Matsumoto Yamaga as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 61% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 39%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Grulla Morioka and 0.67 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Grulla Morioka 1-6 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 24%, draw 26%, Matsumoto Yamaga 51%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Over 2.5
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