Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
27%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 69%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.91/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.12
+5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -42%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Milsami
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Milsami Milsami 7-0 HT 4-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
18.05.2024 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 1-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
13.04.2024 Dacia-Buiucani 1-4 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
11.11.2023 Milsami Milsami 3-0 HT 1-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
16.09.2023 Dacia-Buiucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
15.10.2022 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
1-1
AWAY Milsami
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dacia-Buiucani and Milsami couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Milsami at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Dacia-Buiucani had 35% of the ball to Milsami's 65%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dacia-Buiucani and 3.00 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami?

Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dacia-Buiucani 21%, draw 24%, Milsami 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milsami), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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