Lobi Stars 3-1 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.43/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.53
-14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Abia Warriors
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.10.2023 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 2-0 HT 2-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
13.03.2022 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-2 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
13.06.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 2-0 HT 2-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
31.01.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
3-1
AWAY Abia Warriors
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars beat Abia Warriors 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lobi Stars as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 64% of the ball to Abia Warriors's 36%, shots finished 22-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Abia Warriors led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Lobi Stars and 1.00 for Abia Warriors.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Abia Warriors?

Lobi Stars 3-1 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 51%, draw 26%, Abia Warriors 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobi Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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