Bendel Insurance 0-1 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.0pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.4pp
15%
Away Win
15%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 18%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
1.79/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.53
+10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kano Pillars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.04.2024 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 2-1 HT 0-1 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kano Pillars nicked a narrow win over Bendel Insurance 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bendel Insurance at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars?

Bendel Insurance 0-1 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 54%, draw 32%, Kano Pillars 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bendel Insurance) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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