Bendel Insurance 2-1 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.53
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+16.0pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 15%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/2.02
+145% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance squeezed past Kano Pillars 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars?

Bendel Insurance 2-1 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 54%, draw 27%, Kano Pillars 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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