Enyimba 1-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Apr 2024

Enyimba
1-0 HT 1-0
Heartland
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Enyimba vs Heartland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.06
No
55%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
28%
+16.1pp
55%
BTTS No
72%
-16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Enyimba v Heartland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enyimba EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.79/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.78
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
329 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Enyimba vs Heartland Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enyimba
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Heartland
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
26.02.2022 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 0-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
30.05.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
13.01.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-0 HT 1-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
POST-MATCH Enyimba vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba nicked a narrow win over Heartland 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Enyimba as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Heartland led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Enyimba and 1.00 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Enyimba vs Heartland?

Enyimba 1-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enyimba vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Enyimba 58%, draw 27%, Heartland 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enyimba), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enyimba) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
16 Apr 2024
18:00 Bayelsa United vs Katsina United Analysis →
18:00 Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars Analysis →
18:00 Rivers United vs Plateau United Analysis →
18:00 Akwa United vs Niger Tornadoes Analysis →
19:30 Shooting Stars vs Lobi Stars Analysis →