Bayelsa United 1-1 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Apr 2024

Bayelsa United
1-1 HT 1-1
Katsina United
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Bayelsa United vs Katsina United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.6pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayelsa United v Katsina United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 19%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.61
-9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
403 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bayelsa United vs Katsina United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Katsina United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Katsina United Katsina United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ

Bayelsa United 1-1 Katsina United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayelsa United
1-1
AWAY Katsina United
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United and Katsina United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bayelsa United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Bayelsa United had 58% of the ball to Katsina United's 42%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Katsina United?

Bayelsa United 1-1 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 49%, draw 31%, Katsina United 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayelsa United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
16 Apr 2024
17:30 Enyimba vs Heartland Analysis →
18:00 Bendel Insurance vs Kano Pillars Analysis →
18:00 Rivers United vs Plateau United Analysis →
18:00 Akwa United vs Niger Tornadoes Analysis →
19:30 Shooting Stars vs Lobi Stars Analysis →