Nieciecza 1-1 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒21:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.59
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 23% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
2.00/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
+33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-2 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
29.07.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-4 HT 0-2 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
08.05.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-2 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
15.11.2020 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-3 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
20.06.2020 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
21.09.2019 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-1
AWAY Miedz Legnica
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza and Miedz Legnica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 61% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 39%, shots finished 22-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nieciecza and 1.83 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica?

Nieciecza 1-1 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 42%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nieciecza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ BTTS Yes
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