Tychy 71 1-1 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +4%
0.86/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.42
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tychy 71
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 0-1 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.08.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 0-0 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
08.04.2023 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 2-2 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
04.09.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 5-0 HT 3-0 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
07.04.2022 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 0-2 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
12.09.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-1 HT 0-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tychy 71
1-1
AWAY Arka Gdynia
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tychy 71 vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tychy 71 and Arka Gdynia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arka Gdynia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tychy 71 had 45% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 55%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tychy 71 and 2.00 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Tychy 71 vs Arka Gdynia?

Tychy 71 1-1 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tychy 71 vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tychy 71 28%, draw 26%, Arka Gdynia 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arka Gdynia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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