CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-11.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.40/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.06
+8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-1
AWAY Dezembro
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Dezembro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 43% of the ball to Dezembro's 57%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Dezembro?

CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 36%, draw 32%, Dezembro 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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