Sanjoanense 1-0 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-13.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 30%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.63/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.97
+30% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Vilaverdense
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.04.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
08.04.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
05.02.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
22.10.2022 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-0
AWAY Vilaverdense
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense edged past Vilaverdense 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Sanjoanense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 50% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 50%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vilaverdense led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Sanjoanense and 0.80 for Vilaverdense.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Vilaverdense?

Sanjoanense 1-0 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vilaverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 33%, draw 32%, Vilaverdense 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vilaverdense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vilaverdense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
9 Nov 2024
18:00 Fafe vs Varzim Analysis →
18:00 CF Os Belenenses vs Dezembro Analysis →