Universitatea Craiova 3-1 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -24%
1.91/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.35
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.4 Crosses 20.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.81 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
499 Passes 217
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
10.12.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
04.08.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
28.01.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
19.10.2022 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
01.09.2022 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3-1
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.73 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
523 Passes 386
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova got the better of Hermannstadt 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 55% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 45%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.73 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.50 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt?

Universitatea Craiova 3-1 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 55%, draw 23%, Hermannstadt 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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