CSMS Iaşi 1-2 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
5.07
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
0.97/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.49
-13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
30.0 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepsi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.21 xG 2.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
19.01.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 6-0 HT 3-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
19.10.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
05.02.2021 Sepsi Sepsi 3-3 HT 3-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
17.10.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-4 HT 0-3 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
09.07.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-3 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
1-2
AWAY Sepsi
0.79 xG 0.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
439 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi squeezed past CSMS Iaşi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Sepsi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 63% of the ball to Sepsi's 37%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.79 to 0.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured CSMS Iaşi.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 2.83 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Sepsi?

CSMS Iaşi 1-2 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSMS Iaşi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 37%, draw 27%, Sepsi 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSMS Iaşi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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