Sepsi 1-0 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
2.05/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.36
+27% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 6-0 HT 3-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
19.10.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
05.02.2021 Sepsi Sepsi 3-3 HT 3-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
17.10.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-4 HT 0-3 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
09.07.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-3 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROK
05.07.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 3-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
1-0
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.03 xG 1.21
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi edged past CSMS Iaşi 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, expected goals 2.03 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sepsi and 1.33 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs CSMS Iaşi?

Sepsi 1-0 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 46%, draw 26%, CSMS Iaşi 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
13 Jul 2024
19:15 UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest Analysis →
22:00 FCSB vs Universitatea Cluj Analysis →