UTA Arad 1-1 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.73
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 25% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.07
+18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
262 Passes 277
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 4-1 HT 2-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
20.10.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-2 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
18.12.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
20.08.2022 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
09.04.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
29.01.2022 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-1
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad and Rapid Bucarest couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Bucarest at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 49% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 51%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTA Arad and 1.83 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest?

UTA Arad 1-1 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 33%, draw 26%, Rapid Bucarest 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Bucarest), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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