Aluminij 2-0 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.77/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.90
+1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-2 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVNK
03.03.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 1-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
21.08.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
04.07.2020 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-3 HT 1-2 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.02.2020 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN
06.10.2019 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-2 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-0
AWAY Rudar Velenje
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij saw off Rudar Velenje 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aluminij had 62% of the ball to Rudar Velenje's 38%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminij had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aluminij and 0.83 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Rudar Velenje?

Aluminij 2-0 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 55%, draw 22%, Rudar Velenje 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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