09/11/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Tolmin vs NS Drava Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
18%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
23%
52%
Under 2.5
48%
48%
Over 2.5
52%
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
52%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tolmin v NS Drava — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tolmin
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
NS Drava
EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.22/1.66
-37%
/
+5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+89%
/
-7%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
350 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tolmin vs NS Drava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tolmin and NS Drava shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Tolmin at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Tolmin vs NS Drava?
Tolmin 1-1 NS Drava in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tolmin vs NS Drava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tolmin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 52%, draw 18%, NS Drava 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tolmin), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Tolmin)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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