Antalyaspor 3-2 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.49
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.78
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.71
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
6.41
X/X
19%
3.76
2/1
4%
31.5
2/2
14%
5.06
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · X/2 at 6.41 — our 16% vs market 11.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.52
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.0 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
3-2
AWAY Bodrum FK
2.38 xG 1.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
412 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor nicked a narrow win over Bodrum FK 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Antalyaspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 59% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 41%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.38 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?

Antalyaspor 3-2 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 36%, draw 28%, Bodrum FK 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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