Olympique Beja 1-2 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.36
Over 2.5
46%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.6
No
51%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
8.15
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
70%
-15.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
30%
+15.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.8pp
51%
BTTS No
66%
-14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.39/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/1.03
+18% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympique Beja
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Zarzis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
07.05.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 3-0 HT 1-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN
20.02.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-1 HT 0-1 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1B
POST-MATCH Olympique Beja vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis nicked a narrow win over Olympique Beja 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Olympique Beja at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zarzis led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olympique Beja and 0.67 for Zarzis.

What was the final score of Olympique Beja vs Zarzis?

Olympique Beja 1-2 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympique Beja vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympique Beja win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Olympique Beja 42%, draw 34%, Zarzis 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olympique Beja) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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