Everton (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
6%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
73%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
2%
2/2
50%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
6%
Home Win
13%
-6.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
72%
Away Win
70%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.65/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.82
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -25%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 86%
10.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.6
11.4 Crosses 20.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 2.36
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
212 Passes 525
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
15.12.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
02.03.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
29.09.2019 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
20.02.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
20.09.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
1-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.04 xG 2.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
371 Passes 428
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 44
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) edged past Everton (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Everton (K) had 47% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 53%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.04 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester City (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Everton (K) and 2.00 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Everton (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 6%, draw 21%, Manchester City (K) 72%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
9 Nov 2025
14:55 London City (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →
15:00 West Ham United (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K) Analysis →
15:00 Liverpool (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Analysis →