Las Palmas 3-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.57
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.65
X/2
6%
8.34
X/X
11%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
11%
6.4
2/X
6%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.31/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.36
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.7 Crosses 13.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.15
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
463 Passes 189
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.01.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
18.09.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
19.01.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
31.08.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-2 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
15.02.2015 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
13.09.2014 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
3-1
AWAY Racing Santander
1.19 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas saw off Racing Santander 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 50% of the ball to Racing Santander's 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Palmas and 0.83 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Racing Santander?

Las Palmas 3-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 51%, draw 27%, Racing Santander 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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