Granada 3-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.39
X/2
8%
7.57
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
6.37
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.26/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
+13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.6 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
360 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Granada Granada 2-2 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
03.12.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 2-2 Granada Granada İSPK
02.11.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
08.04.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
21.10.2022 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
10.03.2019 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
3-1
AWAY Real Zaragoza
2.69 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 Passes 220
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada beat Real Zaragoza 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Granada had 59% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.69 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Granada and 1.17 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Granada vs Real Zaragoza?

Granada 3-1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Granada 46%, draw 28%, Real Zaragoza 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
9 Nov 2025
16:00 Las Palmas vs Racing Santander Analysis →
23:00 Cadiz vs Valladolid Analysis →