Real Zaragoza 2-2 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
25%
+12.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.38/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.54
+58% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.0 Crosses 19.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Granada
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
08.04.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
21.10.2022 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
10.03.2019 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
04.11.2018 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-2 HT 0-2 Granada Granada İS2
19.01.2018 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
2-2
AWAY Granada
2.28 xG 0.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
24 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
385 Passes 583
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 25
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza and Granada couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 41% of the ball to Granada's 59%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.28 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.17 for Granada.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Granada?

Real Zaragoza 2-2 Granada in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 38%, draw 25%, Granada 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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