Barbastro 2-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-13.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 75%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.60/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.34
+150% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +111%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.6
11.5 Crosses 23.4
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barbastro
2-0
AWAY Espanyol
1.11 xG 1.28
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
100 Passes 419
55% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 47
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro saw off Espanyol 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Espanyol carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barbastro had 26% of the ball to Espanyol's 74%, shots finished 4-25, expected goals 1.11 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Espanyol?

Barbastro 2-0 Espanyol in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 19%, draw 24%, Espanyol 58%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Espanyol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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