Europa vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Europa v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Europa 1-2 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Las Palmas nicked a narrow win over Europa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Europa had 38% of the ball to Las Palmas's 62%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.41 to 2.91 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Las Palmas's control.
What was the final score of Europa vs Las Palmas?
Europa 1-2 Las Palmas in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Europa vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Europa 26%, draw 20%, Las Palmas 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.