Real Avila 2-4 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-8.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 62%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.28/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.84/0.91
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -37%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
228 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 82%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
9.0 Crosses 30.3
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Avila
2-4
AWAY Valladolid
1.76 xG 2.02
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
216 Passes 536
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid got the better of Real Avila 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valladolid as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Avila had 34% of the ball to Valladolid's 66%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 1.76 to 2.02.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Valladolid?

Real Avila 2-4 Valladolid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 19%, draw 30%, Valladolid 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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