CD Aguilas 3-1 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.00/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.25
-30% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
308 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Melilla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
08.05.2022 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
19.12.2021 Melilla Melilla 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
3-1
AWAY Melilla
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas beat Melilla 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Aguilas as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 41% of the ball to Melilla's 59%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melilla led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Aguilas and 1.00 for Melilla.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Melilla?

CD Aguilas 3-1 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 49%, draw 32%, Melilla 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Aguilas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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