Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 Tenerife II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.66/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.65
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tenerife II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2025 Tenerife II Tenerife II 2-4 HT 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS4
22.12.2024 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 2-0 HT 1-0 Tenerife II Tenerife II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
2-1
AWAY Tenerife II
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Tenerife II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda squeezed past Tenerife II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rayo Majadahonda as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 53% of the ball to Tenerife II's 47%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Majadahonda had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rayo Majadahonda and 1.00 for Tenerife II.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Tenerife II?

Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 Tenerife II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Tenerife II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 49%, draw 24%, Tenerife II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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