Lazio (K) 1-0 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
35%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+13.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.07/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.26
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
25.0 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio (K)
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Napoli (K)
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.70 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTSKK
18.04.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
08.03.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
18.01.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
13.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio (K)
1-0
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.09 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
252 Passes 289
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lazio (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) nicked a narrow win over Napoli (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lazio (K) had 47% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 53%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.09 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lazio (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Lazio (K) and 0.40 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Lazio (K) 1-0 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 44%, draw 21%, Napoli (K) 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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