Hamburger SV (K) 1-2 Nürnberg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
1.91/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.81
-52% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +72%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
1-2
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
2.04 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
223 Passes 136
63% Pass Accuracy 52%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hamburger SV (K) vs Nürnberg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg (K) edged past Hamburger SV (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburger SV (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamburger SV (K) had 57% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 43%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.04 to 1.30 — on chances, Hamburger SV (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Hamburger SV (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Hamburger SV (K) 1-2 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburger SV (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburger SV (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hamburger SV (K) 50%, draw 24%, Nürnberg (K) 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburger SV (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburger SV (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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