Köln (K) 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.1pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.49/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.25
-5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
23.1 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.64 xG 2.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
208 Passes 446
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 5-1 HT 3-1 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
13.10.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 0-3 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
15.04.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
1-0
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
2.03 xG 0.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
210 Passes 275
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) edged past Hoffenheim (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln (K) had 47% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.03 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Köln (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Köln (K) and 3.00 for Hoffenheim (K).

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Köln (K) 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 31%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim (K) 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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