Hoffenheim (K) 5-1 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.3
Draw
32%
4.81
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
72%
-25.5pp
32%
Draw
17%
+14.2pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+11.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.85/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.11
-55% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
24.0 Crosses 11.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Köln (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 177
79% Pass Accuracy 58%
32 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 0-3 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
15.04.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
5-1
AWAY Köln (K)
3.23 xG 0.24
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
459 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
39 Box Touches 4
31 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) swept aside Köln (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 62% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 38%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 3.23 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hoffenheim (K) and 0.50 for Köln (K).

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Köln (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 5-1 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 47%, draw 32%, Köln (K) 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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